Caleb Williams

Career StatsC+

Year	Team	GP	Yards	TD	INT	RTG
Career		34	7,483	47	13	89.0
2025		17	3,942	27	7	90.1
2024		17	3,541	20	6	87.8

Current Contract

Contract Value Index (CVI)

The Chicago Bears locked up their franchise quarterback of the future at an exceptional value, making Caleb Williams' rookie deal one of the strongest CVI performers in recent memory. At just $9.9M per year with full guarantee protection, Williams delivers elite financial efficiency for a serviceable starter who's already showing the arm talent and pocket presence that made him the No. 1 overall pick. The four-year timeline perfectly aligns with his developmental curve, giving Chicago a massive competitive advantage while other teams pay $35-50M annually for similar or lesser quarterback production. Williams' fully guaranteed structure eliminates downside risk while the Bears control his prime years at below-market rates, creating enormous salary cap flexibility to build around their young signal-caller. This B- CVI represents exactly the type of foundational contract that transforms franchises — Chicago gets a legitimate starting quarterback with upside at replacement-level pricing, positioning them to compete immediately while maintaining long-term roster flexibility.

Contracts in the Same Value Band

Other same-position deals the Contract Value Index also places in the B band — a quick read on where Caleb's contract sits relative to comparable money.

Performance Analysis

Caleb Williams, the No. 1 overall pick of the 2024 draft, enters his second NFL season as Chicago's unquestioned franchise centerpiece and a developing talent with legitimate upside. At just 24, he carries a C+ grade overall — modest, but consistent with most young quarterbacks still finding their footing in a complex offensive system. His trajectory from a C- in 2024 to a C in 2025 shows incremental progress, and the foundation beneath that growth is worth monitoring closely. Williams' most encouraging calling card is his volume production — his 231.9 passing yards per game comfortably exceeds the NFL average of 189.25, and his 22.8 rushing yards per game nearly doubles the league norm of 12.31, reflecting his dual-threat dimension. His current 90.1 passer rating edges the NFL average of 87.79, and his career mark of 89.0 suggests reasonable consistency. The pressing concern, however, is accuracy — his 58.1 completion percentage sits meaningfully below the league average of 63.59, a gap that limits efficiency and stalls drives at critical moments. Williams draws early-career Jalen Hurts comparisons — a mobile, strong-armed signal-caller whose completion percentage lagged before a mechanical breakthrough unlocked elite-level play. If Williams can clean up his accuracy and push his completion rate into the low-to-mid 60s, the rest of his profile suggests a legitimate franchise quarterback. Watch for improved intermediate accuracy and red-zone decision-making as the clearest indicators of whether his ceiling is being reached.

How Caleb Compares at the Position

Caleb Williams ranks 33rd of 106 graded quarterbacks by performance. That slots Caleb between Carson Wentz (B-) just ahead and Tyler Shough (C+) just behind.

Current Sentiment

Caleb Williams enters 2026 as a polarizing second-year quarterback whose perception remains unsettled between legitimate franchise potential and legitimate skepticism. The headline mix reveals a divided narrative: some media outlets are positioning him as closer to MVP-caliber than critics acknowledge, while veteran voices like Brian Urlacher have publicly questioned his trajectory, and locker room dynamics (Loveland situation) suggest internal friction. His 88.97 career passer rating and $9.9M contract place him squarely in the solid starter tier rather than elite company, lacking the Pro Bowl or All-Pro credentials that would anchor a higher reputation floor. The positive coverage around his arm talent and camp performance is offset by the weight of criticism from respected franchise figures, preventing a strong upward adjustment despite the MVP-adjacent headlines. Heading into 2026, Williams' perception hinges on whether Year 3 produces statistical and on-field evidence to silence doubters or confirms the concerns already voiced by Chicago's institutional leadership.