Anthony Richardson Sr.

Career StatsD

Year	Team	GP	Yards	TD	INT	RTG
Career		17	2,400	11	13	67.8
2025		2	9	0	0	62.5
2024		11	1,814	8	12	61.6

Current Contract

Contract Value Index (CVI)

This deal earns a C+ CVI, landing squarely in fair value territory for a quarterback with Richardson's current production profile. At $8.4M AAV, the Colts are paying above-average starter money for what amounts to rotational player-level performance through his early career, creating a modest disconnect between compensation and on-field impact. The four-year commitment with $34.0M guaranteed reflects Indianapolis doubling down on Richardson's physical tools and upside potential, but the guaranteed money creates meaningful risk if his accuracy and decision-making don't improve significantly. Richardson's youth works heavily in his favor here — most quarterbacks with his arm strength and mobility would command far more on the open market, making this a calculated gamble on development rather than current production. The Colts essentially locked in what could become a bargain if Richardson takes the expected leap, while avoiding the massive financial exposure that comes with paying proven franchise quarterbacks. This contract strikes a reasonable middle ground between Richardson's immense potential and his need to prove he can consistently operate as an NFL starter.

Performance Analysis

Anthony Richardson Sr. is a 23-year-old former top-five pick entering his third NFL season with just 17 career games under his belt. His overall grade sits at a D, reflecting significant developmental struggles, though his youth and elite athleticism keep his ceiling relevant. At his age, peers like Josh Allen were still raw — Richardson's trajectory remains a live conversation. The current-season numbers are alarming across every passing metric. His 62.5 passer rating sits well below the NFL average of 77.2, and his 50.0 completion rate trails the league benchmark of 64.2 percent significantly. At just 4.50 yards per attempt against an NFL average of 6.90, Richardson is struggling to generate value as a traditional pocket passer, making his rushing ability the only consistent weapon in his arsenal. His season trend tells a concerning story — a D+ in 2023 has declined to back-to-back D- grades in 2024 and 2025, with no clear upward inflection. His career passer rating of 67.8 and 50.6 completion percentage suggest these aren't anomalies but persistent patterns. Indianapolis must decide soon whether Richardson's dual-threat upside justifies continued investment or whether a scheme overhaul is needed to unlock his potential.

Current Sentiment

Anthony Richardson Sr. enters the 2026 offseason in a deeply precarious position, with the Indianapolis Colts formally declining his fifth-year option — a clear organizational signal that the franchise no longer views him as part of its long-term plans. The simultaneous reporting of a trade request from Richardson's camp compounds the narrative, suggesting a mutual desire to part ways that rarely reflects well on a young quarterback's development arc. With a career passer rating hovering below 68, Richardson has yet to demonstrate the consistency or statistical production necessary to command confidence from either his current team or prospective suitors. Media coverage is uniformly negative, framing the situation not as a fresh start but as a quiet acknowledgment of unmet potential for a former top-five draft pick. Unless a trade materializes and Richardson engineers a dramatic turnaround in a new system, the prevailing perception heading into 2026 is that of a high-upside prospect who has thus far failed to translate athleticism into sustainable NFL-caliber quarterback play.