C+
B+
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Quick Reaction
Sentiment Analysis
B+
Positive
NegativeMixedPositive
The Raiders made a smart, low-risk upgrade replacing Daniel Carlson with a proven veteran kicker. Multiple headlines confirm Gay enters direct competition, signaling the Raiders aren't handing anyone the job. Gay's strong leg and recent NFL accuracy mark the clearest positive indicator of this signing's merit. Fans debate whether advanced stats truly favor Gay over the longtime Carlson, a fan favorite. If Gay wins the job outright, this quietly becomes one of the offseason's most impactful positional upgrades.
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Contract Value Index (CVI)
C+
Fair Value
OverpayFair ValueGreat Value
This signing grades out as a slight overpay for the Las Vegas Raiders — the team is getting approximately what they're paying for in on-field production. Matt's on-field performance ranks in the bottom quartile among NFL UNKs, grading him as an unproven at the position. His $1.6M average annual value ranks as bargain money for the UNK market. The production lines up closely with the price tag — unproven production at bargain money, which is essentially paying fair market value. Matt is squarely in his prime, which adds to the deal's upside — the team should get multiple productive seasons out of this contract. The one-year deal minimizes the team's financial risk, effectively making this a prove-it contract.
Contract Details
- Length
- 1 year
- Total Value
- $1.6M
- AAV
- $1.6M
- Guaranteed
- $1.4M
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About this NFL transaction
The Las Vegas Raiders signed Matt Gay (PK) on March 11, 2026. FanVerdicts grades every reported NFL transaction across three dimensions independently: Contract Value Index measures the deal's value relative to expected production, Sentiment measures media and fan reaction, and Fan Verdict aggregates community voting on this page. Current grades for this move: Contract Value Index C+, Sentiment B+, Fan Verdict pending.
Contract details below show the years, total value, average annual value, and guaranteed money the Contract Value Index grade is computed against. The grade does not change once written — it reflects market expectations at the moment of signing, recomputed only if the contract is restructured.
Want broader context? The NFL hub has the league-wide transaction feed and team rankings. The NFL transactions feed lists every reported move across the league with the same three-grade methodology applied to each.