Montrell Johnson Jr.

Career StatsD+

Year	Team	Games
Career		2

Updated May 11, 2026

Current Contract

Contract Value Index (CVI)

Montrell Johnson Jr.'s $0.8M AAV deal with Carolina earns a C+ CVI, representing a fair value proposition for a depth running back in today's NFL market. At under $1M annually, the Panthers are paying appropriately for what projects as a solid rotational piece rather than a featured back, avoiding the trap of overpaying for replaceable production at the league's most volatile position. Johnson's relatively modest salary gives Carolina flexibility to develop him without significant financial risk, while the low commitment allows them to pivot quickly if he doesn't pan out or if they find upgrades through the draft. The deal structure protects the Panthers from the injury concerns that plague the running back position, as they're not locked into heavy guaranteed money for a player still establishing his NFL role. This represents smart roster building by Carolina — securing depth at a reasonable price point while maintaining the financial flexibility to address more pressing positional needs, making it a sensible if unspectacular move that fits their current rebuilding timeline.

Performance Analysis

Montrell Johnson Jr. is a first-year back carving out a developmental role in Carolina's backfield, earning a D+ grade through his early NFL sample. For a rookie at the position, the bar is defined by efficiency and ball security, not volume — and Johnson's returns have been mixed at best. Compared to recent rookie class contributors, he trails the developmental curve most teams hope to see by mid-season. The most glaring concern is his 3.67 yards per carry, meaningfully below the NFL average of 4.10 and nowhere near elite territory at 5.40. His 38.5 rushing yards per game ranks well below the league average of 55.0, signaling limited opportunity or difficulty creating yardage independently. The genuine bright spot is his scoring efficiency — a 0.50 rush touchdowns per game that exceeds the NFL average of 0.35 — suggesting he finishes possessions well when inside the red zone. Johnson's C- trend in 2025 reflects a player still searching for consistency in a system that hasn't yet fully unlocked him. The TD rate is a real data point worth monitoring — backs who score efficiently as rookies sometimes translate that instinct into broader impact as offenses expand their role. If Carolina's offensive line stabilizes and Johnson improves his yards-before-contact numbers, a meaningful jump in efficiency next season is a reasonable projection.

Current Sentiment

Montrell Johnson Jr. carries a C+ public sentiment as he enters the 2026 season, reflecting the cautious optimism surrounding a former second-round pick who has yet to fully capitalize on his collegiate pedigree. The media narrative around Johnson Jr. has been one of untapped potential and opportunity, particularly with his landing spot on a Carolina Panthers team being positioned as a legitimate NFC playoff contender. Coverage of his roster survival and subsequent signing generated modest but positive attention, with beat writers and fantasy analysts highlighting his developmental upside and the fresh start that Carolina's system could provide. However, the underlying tone remains measured, as his bubble status and limited NFL production to date keep expectations grounded at the depth chart level. The consensus view positions Johnson Jr. as a high-ceiling prospect whose 2026 perception will be entirely dependent on early-season performance and his ability to carve out meaningful touches within Carolina's backfield rotation. His C+ grade reflects this delicate balance between legitimate potential and the reality that he remains a developmental piece rather than an established contributor.