Kodai Senga
#34 SP · Mets
Height
6'1"
Weight
202 lbs
Age
33
College
N/A
Experience
3 yrs
Bats/Throws
L/R
C
B-
D-
N/A
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The Verdict on Kodai, in One Read
On the field, Kodai Senga grades out as a strong SP for Mets (B- Performance). That places him 97th of 254 graded starting pitchers. The contract is harder to defend: the Contract Value Index calls it fairly priced (C), with the cost outrunning the output. The public read is negative (D- Sentiment), drawn from current news and social signal rather than the box score.
Career StatsB-
| Year | Team | GP | ERA | W-L | K | WHIP | IP | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career |  | 57 | 3.3934426 | 20-17 | 343 | 1.2918032 | 0.0 | 0 |
| 2026 | | 5 | 9.00 | 0-4 | 23 | 1.95 | 20.0 | 0 |
| 2025 |
Current Contract
Length
5 years
Total Value
$75.0M
Guaranteed
$45.0M
AAV
$15.0M/yr
Guaranteed %60%
Contract Value Index (CVI)
C
Fair Value
OverpayFair ValueGreat Value
Kodai Senga's value math nets a C Contract Value Index relative to comparable starting pitcher deals. At $15M AAV over five years, the Mets are paying mid-rotation starter money for a pitcher whose 2026 season has already been derailed by lumbar spine inflammation—a durability concern that compounds earlier shoulder issues and undercuts the value proposition significantly. Senga's on-field talent when healthy is genuine; his strikeout profile and stuff remind evaluators why he earned a frontline deal in the first place. However, the contract carries real downside risk: he is 33 years old at the onset of a five-year commitment, an age curve that typically favors shorter, front-loaded deals rather than extended terms. The Mets are effectively paying starter-rate dollars for a pitcher who has appeared in only five games this season with zero wins, and whose availability rather than performance has become the dominant storyline—a mismatch between cost and return that defines fair-value territory at best. Until Senga demonstrates sustained health over a full regular season, the team is absorbing injury risk at a price point that assumes durability; that gap between assumption and reality keeps the CVI from climbing higher despite flashes of the stuff that justified the original investment.
Performance Analysis
B-
FCA+
Kodai Senga's performance grade lands at B-, capturing how he stacks up at SP this season. The 33-year-old fourth-year pitcher has posted 23 strikeouts across five games in 2026, demonstrating that his elite strikeout arsenal remains intact when he takes the mound—a critical reminder that his pure stuff has not deteriorated despite the durability questions. The glaring weakness, however, is unavailability: a lumbar spine inflammation diagnosis has already sidelined him multiple times this season, and the injury profile now extends beyond the shoulder issues that plagued his earlier Mets tenure, raising legitimate long-term durability concerns that overshadow his strikeout upside. His zero wins through five appearances underscore the harsh reality that talent alone does not drive outcomes when a pitcher cannot stay healthy; the Mets have been forced into a holding pattern, adding depth arms to the rotation while Senga rehabs, signaling organizational uncertainty about his ability to anchor the staff. The media narrative reflects this tension sharply—while recent coverage has emphasized his mechanical improvements and the encouraging nature of his rehab work, his repeated trips to the injured list have crushed fan confidence from cautious optimism down to outright frustration, leaving his 2026 value entirely contingent on demonstrating he can sustain health for a meaningful stretch.
Contracts in the Same Value Band
Other same-position deals the Contract Value Index also places in the C band — a quick read on where Kodai's contract sits relative to comparable money.
How Kodai Compares at the Position
Kodai Senga ranks 97th of 254 graded starting pitchers by performance. That slots Kodai between Zach Thornton (B-) just ahead and Luis Severino (B-) just behind.
Graded higher
Zach ThorntonMetsB-Will DiOnGuardiansB-Robby SnellingMarlinsB-Kodai SengaB-
Graded lower
Luis SeverinoAthleticsRecent Games
| Date | OPP | Result | AB | H | R | HR | RBI | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 6/16 | @ CIN | L 3-5 | - | - | - | 0 | - | - | - |
Transaction History
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About this player
Kodai Senga is a player in his 3rd MLB season listed at SP for the Mets. FanVerdicts covers every MLB player, team, GM, and transaction — and puts your verdict on all of it. Sign in to cast your Fan Verdict on Kodai Senga, see where the crowd lands, and argue the call. FanVerdicts also brings its own read — performance, sentiment, and Contract Value Index — as one honest input alongside the crowd's. Where FanVerdicts has weighed in so far: Contract Value Index C, Performance B-, Sentiment D-.
The crowd's Fan Verdict moves in real time as fans vote on this profile. FanVerdicts' own read updates as new data lands — performance recalculates when MLB game stats post, sentiment shifts with media coverage and fan discussion, and the Contract Value Index recomputes when contract terms change. Contract details below show the structure (years, total value, average annual value, guarantees) behind the Contract Value Index read.
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