Kodai Senga
#34 SP · Mets
Height
6'1"
Weight
202 lbs
Age
33
College
N/A
Experience
3 yrs
Bats/Throws
L/R
C
B-
D-
N/A
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The Verdict on Kodai, in One Read
On the field, Kodai Senga grades out as a strong SP for Mets (B- Performance). That places him 100th of 252 graded starting pitchers. The contract is harder to defend: the Contract Value Index calls it fairly priced (C), with the cost outrunning the output. The public read is negative (D- Sentiment), drawn from current news and social signal rather than the box score.
Career StatsB-
| Year | Team | GP | ERA | W-L | K | WHIP | IP | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career |  | 57 | 3.3934426 | 20-17 | 343 | 1.2918032 | 0.0 | 0 |
| 2026 | | 5 | 9.00 | 0-4 | 23 | 1.95 | 20.0 | 0 |
| 2025 |
Current Contract
Length
5 years
Total Value
$75.0M
Guaranteed
$45.0M
AAV
$15.0M/yr
Guaranteed %60%
Contract Value Index (CVI)
C
Fair Value
OverpayFair ValueGreat Value
Kodai Senga's value math nets a C Contract Value Index relative to comparable SP deals. At $15M AAV over five years, the Mets are paying Senga in the solid-starter-to-above-average range—a reasonable floor for a pitcher with his strikeout profile when healthy, but a problematic ceiling given the durability red flags now dominating the conversation. The core tension here is straightforward: his on-field talent when available deserves mid-rotation compensation, yet the team is absorbing significant injury risk without a discount to match it. At 33 years old entering the final stretch of his contract, Senga's prime earning years are already in the rearview, and the five-year structure locks the Mets into commitment precisely when durability becomes most unpredictable for a pitcher with documented shoulder and spine issues. The recent lumbar inflammation landing him on the IL—compounding earlier shoulder problems—transforms what might otherwise be fair-value pay into a cautionary case: the Mets signed him as a frontline anchor, but his availability, not his stuff, now determines whether this deal delivers. Until Senga strings together a sustained healthy stretch, the CVI remains fairly valued at best and increasingly vulnerable to regret territory if the injury carousel continues.
Performance Analysis
B-
FCA+
Kodai Senga's performance grade lands at B-, capturing how he stacks up at SP this season. The 33-year-old fourth-year pitcher has posted 23 strikeouts across five games in 2026, demonstrating that his elite strikeout arsenal remains intact when he takes the mound—a critical reminder that his pure stuff has not deteriorated despite the durability questions. The glaring weakness, however, is unavailability: a lumbar spine inflammation diagnosis has already sidelined him multiple times this season, and the injury profile now extends beyond the shoulder issues that plagued his earlier Mets tenure, raising legitimate long-term durability concerns that overshadow his strikeout upside. His zero wins through five appearances underscore the harsh reality that talent alone does not drive outcomes when a pitcher cannot stay healthy; the Mets have been forced into a holding pattern, adding depth arms to the rotation while Senga rehabs, signaling organizational uncertainty about his ability to anchor the staff. The media narrative reflects this tension sharply—while recent coverage has emphasized his mechanical improvements and the encouraging nature of his rehab work, his repeated trips to the injured list have crushed fan confidence from cautious optimism down to outright frustration, leaving his 2026 value entirely contingent on demonstrating he can sustain health for a meaningful stretch.
Contracts in the Same Value Band
Other same-position deals the Contract Value Index also places in the C band — a quick read on where Kodai's contract sits relative to comparable money.
How Kodai Compares at the Position
Kodai Senga ranks 100th of 252 graded starting pitchers by performance. That slots Kodai between Zach Thornton (B-) just ahead and Tyler Wells (B-) just behind.
Graded higher
Zach ThorntonMetsB-Will DiOnGuardiansB-David PetersonMetsB-Kodai SengaB-
Graded lower
Tyler WellsOriolesRecent Games
| Date | OPP | Result | AB | H | R | HR | RBI | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, 6/16 | @ CIN | L 3-5 | - | - | - | 0 | - | - | - |
Transaction History
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About this player
Kodai Senga is a player in his 3rd MLB season listed at SP for the Mets. FanVerdicts covers every MLB player, team, GM, and transaction — and puts your verdict on all of it. Sign in to cast your Fan Verdict on Kodai Senga, see where the crowd lands, and argue the call. FanVerdicts also brings its own read — performance, sentiment, and Contract Value Index — as one honest input alongside the crowd's. Where FanVerdicts has weighed in so far: Contract Value Index C, Performance B-, Sentiment D-.
The crowd's Fan Verdict moves in real time as fans vote on this profile. FanVerdicts' own read updates as new data lands — performance recalculates when MLB game stats post, sentiment shifts with media coverage and fan discussion, and the Contract Value Index recomputes when contract terms change. Contract details below show the structure (years, total value, average annual value, guarantees) behind the Contract Value Index read.
For league-wide context, the MLB hub has team rankings, GM report cards, the transactions feed, and live scoreboards. The MLB player rankings page sorts every active player by performance and contract value within their position.