Height
6'2"
Weight
200 lbs
Age
32
College
LSU
Draft
2014, Rd 1, #7
Experience
11 yrs
Bats/Throws
R/R
Fan Verdict
Grade this player:
Career StatsC+
| Year | Team | GP | ERA | W-L | K | WHIP | IP | SV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career |  | 285 | 3.829415 | 109-89 | 1876 | 1.1488246 | 0.0 | 0 |
Current Contract
Length
7 years
Total Value
$172.0M
Guaranteed
$103.2M
AAV
$24.6M/yr
Contract Value Index (CVI)
Aaron Nola's seven-year, $172.2M extension ($24.6M AAV) represents one of the most questionable investments in recent MLB history, earning an F CVI grade that reflects Philadelphia's dramatic overpay for a solid starter masquerading as an ace. While Nola has been a reliable innings-eater who can deliver 3-4 WAR seasons, paying him elite starter money—comparable to what legitimate frontline aces command—fundamentally misunderstands his ceiling and ignores the aging curve for pitchers entering their thirties. The Phillies essentially bet their competitive window on a pitcher whose best years are likely behind him, committing franchise-altering money to someone who profiles more as a strong #2 or #3 starter rather than the cornerstone ace this contract suggests. Philadelphia's urgency to retain familiar faces has blinded them to market inefficiencies, and this deal will likely handicap their payroll flexibility just as their current core enters decline phases. For a team with championship aspirations, locking up this much money in a solid but unspectacular starter represents poor resource allocation that could haunt them throughout the contract's duration.
Performance Analysis
Aaron Nola grades as a near-elite performer among MLB starting pitchers, earning a A- Performance grade. He carries a 3.83 ERA (near the league average of 4.20) and a 1.15 WHIP across 1715.2 innings pitched with a 9.8 K/9 rate. His 109-89 record provides context on team support and run prevention. A 9.8 K/9 rate indicates above-average swing-and-miss stuff. As a prime-age veteran at 32, Aaron is a key contributor for the Phillies. A 285-game sample provides high confidence in this grade.
Recent Games
| Date | OPP | Result | AB | H | R | HR | RBI | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 4/8 | @ SF | L 0-5 | - | - | - | 0 | - | - | - |
| Fri, 4/3 | @ COL | W 10-1 | - | - | - | 0 | - | - | - |
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