Keon Coleman

Career StatsC-

Year	Team	GP	Rec	Yards	TD
Career		26	67	960	8
2025		13	38	404	4
2024		13	29	556	4

Current Contract

Contract Value Index (CVI)

The Buffalo Bills secured solid value with Keon Coleman's 4-year, $10.1M deal that earns a B CVI, representing a fair market transaction for a serviceable starter at wide receiver. At just $2.5M annually, Buffalo is paying appropriate compensation for a player who profiles as a reliable third or fourth option in their passing attack, especially considering the $9.6M in guaranteed money provides reasonable security without excessive risk. Coleman's age and developmental runway suggest this contract could age well if he takes the expected leap that many young receivers make in their second or third seasons. The heavy guarantee structure shows Buffalo's confidence in his trajectory while keeping the annual value modest enough that it won't hamstring their salary cap flexibility as they navigate Josh Allen's championship window. This deal exemplifies smart roster building—locking up a productive role player at below-market rates before he potentially outgrows his current tier, giving the Bills either continued value or future trade leverage.

Performance Analysis

Keon Coleman is a second-year wide receiver for the Buffalo Bills, a 2024 second-round pick still carving out his identity as a legitimate NFL receiver. At just 22, he earns a C- overall grade, reflecting genuine growing pains rather than a talent ceiling. His youth and draft pedigree suggest this is a developmental snapshot, not a final verdict. The biggest concern right now is volume production — Coleman is averaging just 31.1 receiving yards per game against an NFL average of 50.0, a meaningful gap that signals inconsistent target usage. His yards-per-reception sits at 10.6, below the league average of 12.7 and well short of the elite threshold of 17.3, suggesting he's not consistently winning on contested or downfield routes. The one encouraging sign is his touchdown rate of 0.31 per game, right at the NFL average of 0.30, hinting at red-zone value and situational reliability despite the broader struggles. His grade has slipped from a C in 2024 to a D in 2025, a troubling trajectory that warrants attention heading into a critical third year. Coleman draws pre-draft comparisons to physical possession receivers who needed time to refine route precision — think a younger Darius Slayton finding his footing. If he can close the gap in yards per reception and generate more consistent separation, a rebound to average or above is absolutely within reach.

Current Sentiment

Keon Coleman enters the 2026 season as a player firmly on the developmental bubble, with the Buffalo Bills publicly expressing confidence that his best football remains ahead of him. The organization's decision to shut down trade talks surrounding Coleman is a meaningful signal of internal belief, suggesting the front office views him as a viable contributor rather than a cap casualty. Recent NFL Draft coverage framed Buffalo's selections as beneficial to Coleman's role, adding a modest layer of optimism around his opportunity within the offense. However, trade rumors linking him to the Dallas Cowboys in exchange for George Pickens reflect a broader league perception that Coleman has yet to fully capitalize on his early-career potential, keeping his standing somewhat tenuous. Fan and media sentiment is cautiously hopeful rather than enthusiastic, with Coleman widely viewed as a high-upside reclamation project whose 2026 performance will be decisive in defining his long-term NFL trajectory.